September 05, 2008
 


China 2008: Business Perspectives is InterChina’s forecast for the main issues and risks that will need to be factored into strategic and business planning for China in the coming year.

InterChina makes this forecast on an annual basis. In addition to gathering the perspectives of InterChina’s own consultants, the process includes discussions over the course of several months with China-based CEOs, economists and policy makers.

China 2008: Business Perspectives is aimed at senior executives with interests in China and is available for download below.

Another Good Year In 2008 - But Maybe Too Good?

China's development during 2007 was characterized by strong economic growth once again - estimated at 11.5 percent for the year - and we expect further growth of around 10 percent in 2008. As China is hosting the Olympics in August 2008, the Chinese government will strive to maintain a stable and expanding economy and in our view will succeed in its aim. As the Chinese saying goes, "A bike must have speed in order not to fall."

However, the speed of economic growth is also leading to more and more risk. As we move through 2008, concerns about inflationary pressures, stock market bubbles and an overheated real estate sector may well strengthen. To a large extent, whether or not these risks materialize will depend on government policy and they will be avoided if the right policies are put into place and enforced.

Download is available for registered members only.

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